Macro Intelligence · Understand markets

Read the regime before you read the price.

Growth, inflation, policy and liquidity, captured on each release and combined into one regime view, with its conviction and the conditions that would change the call on screen.

Macro Regime workspace: United States classified as Goldilocks at 62% conviction, with the five macro pillars, their inputs and the stated invalidation condition
Macro Regime. Classification, conviction, the runner-up regime and the exact condition that would change the call, with every input behind it one click away.

Questions it answers

What a desk asks of it.

  • Did the latest release change the regime, or only the headline?
  • What is the market pricing for each central bank, meeting by meeting?
  • Is liquidity adding to risk assets or draining them?
  • Which currencies are trading away from their macro drivers?

What it includes

The modules in Macro Intelligence.

Each one is a working window in the terminal, opened by the code shown.

  • MR

    Macro Regime

    Classifies the regime for a country against its own benchmark from 25 inputs across growth, inflation, liquidity, risk appetite and policy. Shows conviction, the runner-up regime and the conditions that would change the call. The history is rebuilt point-in-time, so every backtest sees only what was known on the day.

  • RF

    Rate Forecast

    Meeting-by-meeting policy paths for the major central banks, solved directly from market pricing with the same construction professional rate desks use.

  • FXM

    FX Macro Model

    A relative macro model for 11 currency pairs: rates, growth, data surprises, inflation and risk scored as rolling z-scores, with a fair-value estimate where the model's out-of-sample fit earns one.

  • EI

    Economic Indicators

    Leading, coincident and lagging indicators for 47 countries, each with its latest period and the change on the year.

  • BC

    Business Cycle

    Investment-clock phase from growth and inflation scores, with the indicators behind each score and 24 months of phase history.

  • Top-Down Workflow

    An eleven-step top-down chain: global PMI scan, cycle, regime, liquidity, financial conditions, breadth, sector momentum, rotation, screen, valuation, and the conviction that results.

  • CAL

    Calendar

    Economic and earnings calendars with consensus, prior and actual.

  • CMD

    Commodities

    Energy, metals and agriculture: futures curves, storage, regional markets and agricultural supply.

  • PWR

    Power & AI Load Desk

    Power and AI data-centre load: merit-order pricing built unit by unit from the generator fleet, checked against settled market prices.

Power and AI load desk: modelled merit-order supply stack for PJM with the marginal unit, its heat rate and the implied clearing price
Power & AI load. A merit-order stack built unit by unit from the generator fleet and measured heat rates, with the marginal unit and the implied clearing price.

Method

How the output is built.

Point-in-time by construction
Every input is stamped with the date it was first published, so a historical read never sees data that did not exist yet. Backtests show what you could actually have known.
Coverage you can see
Each score prints how many of its inputs are live, so conviction always reflects the evidence behind it.
Conclusions carry their exit
Each regime read states the conditions that would overturn it, so the view can be monitored rather than re-argued.

What your team gets

The outcome, not the feature list.

  • A shared regime view the whole team works from, updated as each release lands.
  • The policy path for every major central bank, meeting by meeting, in one place.
  • Backtests you can defend in committee, because they only use data that existed at the time.

Request a demo

See it on your own questions.

A demo is a working session in the platform on a question you bring: a release, a company, a position or a portfolio. We reply within two business days.