Research
Macro Research
Longer pieces on how an indicator works and what it leads, and on the macro themes, such as shipping chokepoints and oil supply, that cross asset classes.
Bab el‑Mandeb, Suez, and Hormuz: Markets vs. the Logistics Shock
A sequel to the Hormuz Plays
13 min read
“If Hormuz Shut, Will Brent Break the Bank?”
An in-depth report with a dash of charm from Munich
11 min read
Macro101: Leading Indicators - ISM PMIs, Lead Times, GDP and the S&P 500: the City PM’s field guide to the only survey that can move markets significantly (Sector and Stock plays inclusive :D )
Why the ISM PMIs still matter more than they “should”
18 min read Subscribers
Macro 101: Leading Indicators - China’s Credit Impulse: The Dragon’s Financial Pulse
32 min read Subscribers
Not all oil is equal - Why Venezuela’s return wouldn’t crash WTI and where the real trade sits
4 min read Subscribers
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